GOLD PRICES whipped violently with all financial markets Thursday, as the European Central Bank announced yet more aggressive monetary stimulus only to see the single currency jump to 3-week highs against the Dollar as stock markets sank.
Germany’s Dax index turned a near-3% gain into a worse-than-2% loss for the day, while US and UK government bond prices fell sharply as Eurozone bonds ticked higher.
Crude oil dropped over 2%. New York equity markets opened sharply lower.
“It’s an adequate reaction to weakening growth prospects.”
Gold priced in Dollars initially dropped to 1-week lows beneath $1240 per ounce, a 13-month high when first reached a month ago.
But then surging with silver – which jumped to recover all this week’s 30 cent loss to trade back at $15.50 – gold bullion rose to $1267 per ounce after Draghi spoke, trading some 0.7% higher from last Friday’s close.
The ECB’s decision today cut its main refinancing rate for Eurosystem banks to 0.00%, cut the deposit rate on excess reserves further below zero to minus 0.40%, expanded its QE money creation scheme by one-third to €80 billion per month, widened the range of assets it can buy with that money to include non-financial corporate bonds (albeit not starting until late in Q2), and announced 4 new “targeted” long-term refinancing operations – to be known as TLTRO II – under which banks may borrow up to 30% of the value of loans already made at zero cost for 4 years.
Some analysts claimed disappointment that the negative deposit rate – intended to stop banks holding cash at the ECB instead of lending it – didn’t become “tiered” to try and defend
the Eurozone banking sector’s profitability.
But forecasting consumer-price inflation of just 0.1% for 2016, and cutting his economic growth forecast to 1.4%, Draghi said the ECB understand “the need for further monetary stimulus…without undue delay.”
“You see [devaluations] almost everywhere except for the United States,” said US presidential hopeful Donald Trump – now expected by two-in-three chief financial officers at US corporations to become the Republican nominee for November’s election according to a new poll
– to CNBC today.
“We do nothing about it. They’re taking advantage of our country [and] taking our jobs,” Trump added, calling Beijing “the grandmaster of all” in terms of currency manipulation.
Initially dropping, the Euro however jumped during Draghi’s press conference, reaching its highest level since mid-February near $1.12 on the FX market.
That squashed the gold price in Euros to 1-week lows beneath €1135 per ounce.
Earlier Russia’s third largest gold miner Polyus – which was bought and de-listed from the London stock market as the metal’s price hit 6-year lows in December – had said it hedged around 8% of the next 4 years’ output
on February’s jump in prices.