Gold Price Hits Post-Brexit Low in GBP on Manufacturing Jump, GLD Shrinks But 'Risks Ahead'

GOLD PRICES held at 2-month lows against the Dollar and fell near post-Brexit lows for UK investors in London trade Thursday as world stockmarkets rose despite worse than expected global manufacturing data.
Commodities rallied from yesterday’s sell-off, with silver holding unchanged on the week so far at $18.68 per ounce.
Japanese manufacturing shrank again, while Chinese activity held flat on both the NBS and Caixin surveys and Eurozone growth slowed.
The British Pound, however, reversed the last of August’s drop versus the Euro, and touched 1-month highs versus the Dollar, after UK manufacturing activity showed a marked jump in August from the post-Brexit drop on Markit’s PMI survey.
That drove the gold price in Sterling down to £985 per ounce – fully 8% below the 3-year high hit immediately after the UK’s referendum decision to quit the European Union was announced.
Gold priced in US Dollars traded at $1306.
“The next few months could be a lot ‘riskier’ for developed-country financial assets than the past few months,” writes FX strategist Steven Barrow at Chinese-owned ICBC Standard Bank in London.
“Monetary policy divergence looks as if it will resurface again as the Fed goes in the opposite direction to everybody else. We know that this can cause investors to panic.
“There’s also increased political risk, most notably in US elections and the Italian referendum on constitutional change.”
After US employers added more staff in August than analysts forecast on Wednesday’s private-sector ADP Payrolls estimate, betting in the futures market continues to price the odds of a September Fed rate rise at 3-to-1 against.
US Treasury bond prices slipped overnight, pushing 10-year yields up near 2-month highs at 1.60%.
That remains far below the 2.30% level hit when the Fed finally made its first rate hike from zero in mid-December last year.
Gold prices today traded 21% higher against the Dollar from that date.
Chart of US T-bond yields vs gold prices
Gold-backed ETF the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) yesterday saw its second-heaviest outflow of bullion of 2016 to date, shedding more than 12 tonnes as investors liquidated 1.3% of the trust fund’s shares.
Taking total GLD holdings down to a 2-month low of 943 tonnes, that still left the world’s largest exchange-traded gold trust larger by almost one-half from the end of 2015.
One months after the failed coup attempt in Turkey, the central bank in Ankara today said it is raising the amount of gold which commercial banks can deposit with it, potentially growing the existing pile of privately-owned gold bullion counted amongst its reserves by one-sixth.


This publication is for education purposes only and should not be considered either general of personal advice. It does not consider any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Accordingly, no recommendation (expressed or implied) or other information contained in this report should be acted upon without the appropriateness of that information having regard to those factors. You should assess whether or not the information contained herein is appropriate to your individual financial circumstances and goals before making an investment decision, or seek the help the of a licensed financial adviser. Performance is historical, performance may vary, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. This report was produced in conjunction with ABC Bullion NSW.

Contact Us

Adelaide Store

Mezzanine Level
20 King William Street
Adelaide SA 5000
08 8223 2444
9:30am to 4:00pm (Mon. - Fri.)

Brisbane Store

Level 2
17-19 Mt. Gravatt-Capalaba Road
Upper Mt. Gravatt QLD 4122
07 3349 7965
10:00am to 4:00pm (Mon. - Fri.)