Gold Price Flat at $1200 for Labor Day as Bears Ease Back, US Jewelry Sales Beat Coin, Bar Demand

LABOR DAY 2018 saw global gold bullion prices edge back to $1200 per ounce in quiet trade on Monday, down 0.3% for the day, as US markets stayed closed for the end-of-summer holiday.
Asian and European equities ticked lower, also in quiet trading, as crude oil rose to 2-month highs and the other precious metals held firmer than gold.
Silver slipped 3 cents per ounce to $14.51 by mid-afternoon in London as platinum prices added 50 cents from Friday’s finish to trade at $788.
Betting against silver prices by hedge funds and other ‘Managed Money’ traders last week grew for the 4th week running on Comex futures and options, approaching April 2018’s record-heavy levels according to US regulator the CFTC’s data series.
Managed Money betting against platinum meantime reached a new record, with that group’s bearish positions outnumbering its bullish bets for the 21st week in succession.
Comex gold contracts have, over the last 10 years, seen the Managed Money group of traders average a positive weekly bet equivalent to $16.2bn of metal.
That fell to a negative bet worth a record $9.4bn in mid-August, before easing to -$8.4bn last week.
Chart of Managed Money net speculative position in Comex gold futures and options, notional contract value. Source: BullionVault via CFTC
As gold prices fell last month, imports of gold bullion to No.2 consumer nation India through the key hub of Ahmedabad rose to an 8-month high, the Times of India reports.
Year-on-year comparisons would be skewed however, says Haresh Acharya – national secretary of the Bullion Federation of India – by August 2017’s weak levels, hit by last year’s implementation of new GST sales tax.
Following August’s rise, and despite the looming Hindu wedding and festival season, “Jewellers are [now] cutting purchases,” one news-wire quotes a dealer in Mumbai.
“They think the Rupee could recover and local prices could fall again.”
US jewelry retailer Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) has meantime seen growing sales, reports South Africa’s Independent Online, beating analyst forecasts with its latest results and raising its full-year forecast.
US gold jewelry demand overall last Christmas hit its strongest quarterly levels since at last 2010, according to data compiled by specialist analysts Metals Focus for the mining-backed World Gold Council.
In the year to end-June 2018, total sales rose 9.3% from the previous half-decade average, totaling more than 126 tonnes.
US gold bar and coin demand, in contrast, fell 61% from its prior 5-year average to total just 26 tonnes on Metals Focus’ data.
Sales of US gold Eagle coins by the US Mint fell over 38% last month from July, according to data compiled by Reuters.
Meantime in No.1 consumer market China on Monday, premiums above London quotes for bullion landed in Shanghai rose towards $8 per ounce, just shy of typical levels after sliding below $3 earlier this summer.
Currency trading was also quiet, but Sterling fell – helping the UK gold price in British Pounds per ounce recover half last week’s £10 loss at £932 – amid fresh wrangling in the ruling Conservative Party over next March’s Brexit from the EU.
London’s official proposal for a Brexit deal is simply unacceptable, the EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier says.


This publication is for education purposes only and should not be considered either general of personal advice. It does not consider any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Accordingly, no recommendation (expressed or implied) or other information contained in this report should be acted upon without the appropriateness of that information having regard to those factors. You should assess whether or not the information contained herein is appropriate to your individual financial circumstances and goals before making an investment decision, or seek the help the of a licensed financial adviser. Performance is historical, performance may vary, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. This report was produced in conjunction with ABC Bullion NSW.

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