Gold Bullion Hits Worst 1-Week Dollar Price Drop of 2018, Turkey-US Tensions Worsen in Syria

GOLD PRICES in the global wholesale center of London headed for the steepest 1-week drop of 2018 so far on Friday, holding a 1.7% loss against a stronger US Dollar as major government bond prices edged higher again from this month’s sharp sell-off, nudging interest rates down.
 
Failing to set a 4-year weekly closing high last Friday above $1354, gold prices today held around $1329 per ounce as the US Dollar retained most of this week’s rally on the forex market.
 
Gold priced in Euro slipped 0.4% for the week to €1080 per ounce, while the UK gold price in Pounds per ounce dropped £10 from last Friday to £950.
 
Tensions between Nato members the United States and Turkey – the world’s 5th largest gold buying nation – meantime worsened further as Ankara said its army bombed a convoy of vehicles from the US-backed YPG Kurdish forces in the eastern Syrian region of Afrin.
 
“The summer will be hot for the terrorist organization and those that support it,” Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan today warned Kurds wanting a united breakaway state across the borders of Turkey, Syria and Iraq.
 
“Some of the forces we are working with in the east [of Syria] we are seeing starting to go to Afrin,” confirmed State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert yesterday.
 
Asked about the Assad government’s shelling of civilians in the rebel Syrian enclave of Eastern Goutha, “I don’t know what some of you expect us to do,” she told reporters.
 
Commodity prices slipped Friday as European stock markets failed to follow Asian equities higher.
 
With bond prices up, the interest rate offered to new buyers eased back, but the benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield held on track for its highest weekly close since January 2014 at 2.89% per annum.
 
Among gold-backed exchange-traded vehicles, the giant SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEArca:GLD) has expanded by 0.9% as gold prices have held unchanged over the last 8 trading sessions.
 
That has seen the quantity of gold bullion needed to back the GLD’s shares in issue recover 7 tonnes from mid-February’s six-month low of 820 tonnes.
 
Chart of GLD tonnes backing. Source: BullionVault via ExchangeTradedGold
 
The last month’s 3.0% drop in Dollar silver prices, meantime, has seen the giant iShares Silver Trust ETF (NYSEArca:SLV) expand by 0.7% to need 9,806 tonnes of bullion backing.
 
Gold prices in Hong Kong edged 0.5% higher with global Dollar quotes overnight Friday, and wholesale contracts in Shanghai also rallied, rising back towards pre-Chinese New Year holiday levels against the Yuan to hold a $6 premium above London bullion.
 
That’s around one-third below the typical incentive for new bullion imports into China, the world’s No.1 gold consumer nation.
 
“Buying is still fairly light” after the Chinese markets re-opened from the key gold-buying Lunar New Year holiday season on Thursday, says today’s Asian trading note from Swiss refining and finance group MKS Pamp.
 
“Silver is drifting lower also.”
 
“Sentiment is weak” in India, Reuters meantime quotes Mukesh Kothari at wholesaler RiddiSiddhi Bullions in Mumbai.
 
“Since retail demand is weak, jewellers are not in a hurry,” agrees a bank dealer in the city.
 
“They can wait for a price correction,” said a Mumbai-based dealer with a private bank. 
 
Allowing for India’s 10% import duty, gold prices in India’s key hub of Ahmedabad have not traded at a premium to London quotes for the last 8 trading days, the longest stretch since October according to data polled by the NCDEX futures exchange.

Disclaimer

This publication is for education purposes only and should not be considered either general of personal advice. It does not consider any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Accordingly, no recommendation (expressed or implied) or other information contained in this report should be acted upon without the appropriateness of that information having regard to those factors. You should assess whether or not the information contained herein is appropriate to your individual financial circumstances and goals before making an investment decision, or seek the help the of a licensed financial adviser. Performance is historical, performance may vary, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. This report was produced in conjunction with ABC Bullion NSW.

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